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Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Guillermo Trama, Comandante Nicanor Otamendi
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Barberini V.
14'
Bassani J.
23'
Soria E.

AI Match Summary

Circulo Deportivo in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Circulo Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Circulo Deportivo
15%
Draws
0%
Sol de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Circulo Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Circulo Deportivo have won more games recently than Sol de Mayo.
  • Win probability leans Circulo Deportivo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Circulo Deportivo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
2:1
Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
2:1
Jul 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
3:1
May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Circulo Deportivo
0:0
Sep 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barberini V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grahl F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sol de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jara S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Circulo Deportivo 95 / 100
Sol de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Circulo Deportivo Sol de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Circulo Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Sol de Mayo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sol de Mayo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Circulo Deportivo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Circulo Deportivo VS Sol de Mayo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Circulo Deportivo

(Home)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 0
Germinal
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Sol de Mayo

(Away)
27 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0
Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1
Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1
Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)