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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Brusaporto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Viscardi D.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Siani G.
(Penalty)
69' Event
Lozza S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Brusaporto finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ciserano-Bergamo
30%
Draws
42%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Brusaporto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ciserano-Bergamo taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Brusaporto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Brusaporto
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Brusaporto
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Brusaporto vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lozza S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Brusaporto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 36 / 100
Brusaporto 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Brusaporto conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ciserano-Bergamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS Brusaporto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)