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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Locati A.
90' Event
Benti L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Caldiero Terme finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ciserano-Bergamo
40%
Draws
29%
Caldiero Terme
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Caldiero Terme on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 20%
Caldiero Terme Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Caldiero Terme
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Caldiero Terme vs Ciserano-Bergamo
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme
1:2
Jan 5, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caldiero Terme
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Benti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caldiero Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Locati A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 32 / 100
Caldiero Terme 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Caldiero Terme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldiero Terme's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Ciserano-Bergamo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS Caldiero Terme
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17