Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Viscardi D.
55'
55'
Careccia S.
75'
75'
Panatti A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Ciserano-Bergamo and Caronnese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciserano-Bergamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Caronnese on wins alone.
- Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ciserano-Bergamo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 20%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciserano-Bergamo | Caronnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caronnese
4:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1
Apr 20, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Caronnese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2
Mar 27, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Caronnese
1:0
Nov 14, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Ciserano-Bergamo
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciserano-Bergamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Viscardi D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Careccia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Caronnese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciserano-Bergamo 85 / 100
Caronnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciserano-Bergamo Caronnese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caronnese has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Caronnese registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ciserano-Bergamo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciserano-Bergamo
(Home) 27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Pavonese
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Castellanzese
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1 Vogherese
Page 1 of 4
Caronnese
(Away) 07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3 Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2 Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0 Caronnese
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
19 Mar
Brusaporto
2 : 0 Caronnese
05 Mar
Villa Valle
2 : 2 Caronnese
19 Feb
Desenzano Calvina
3 : 0 Caronnese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
