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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ciserano-Bergamo
30%
Draws
23%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciserano-Bergamo lately — more wins on the board than Ciserano.
  • Ciserano-Bergamo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Ciserano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ciserano
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:2
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:3
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ciserano
2:2
Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ciserano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 95 / 100
Ciserano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ciserano-Bergamo found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ciserano-Bergamo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)