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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo play Ponte San Pietro in the Serie D - Group B 2023/2024. Ciserano-Bergamo are favorites here. Recently, Ciserano-Bergamo averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. Ponte San Pietro averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Ciserano-Bergamo won 2, Ponte San Pietro won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 14, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ciserano-Bergamo and 1.00 for Ponte San Pietro. This points to a Ciserano-Bergamo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ciserano-Bergamo
28%
Draws
22%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ponte San Pietro.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ciserano-Bergamo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ponte San Pietro
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ponte San Pietro
2:3
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Ponte San Pietro
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertoli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calacoci A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 59 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Ponte San Pietro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Ponte San Pietro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ciserano-Bergamo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ponte San Pietro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caldiero Terme38238755:3277
2Piacenza38228869:3574
3Pro Palazzolo382110749:2673
4Desenzano Calvina381912751:2869
5Varesina382081073:4968
6Arconatese382151258:3868
7Brusaporto381591455:5454
8Clivense3814111338:4753
9Villa Valle381581550:4453
10Folgore Caratese381118944:4551
11USD Casatese3813121353:5351
12Caravaggio3812101644:5146
13Ciserano-Bergamo381361949:5845
14Club Milano3811121541:4445
15Real Calepina3811111638:4744
16Legnano381191834:5042
17Castellanzese389121736:5139
18Crema38992025:4836
19Tritium386112127:5729
20Ponte San Pietro38592431:6324