Sport Picks

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Ciserano-Bergamo vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Belloli F.
45' Event
Panatti A.

AI Match Summary

Ciserano-Bergamo in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciserano-Bergamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ciserano-Bergamo
35%
Draws
37%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo have won more games recently than Sona.
  • Model gives Ciserano-Bergamo a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%
Sona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano-Bergamo Sona
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Sona
2:0
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:3
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Sona
3:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:1
Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Ciserano-Bergamo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloli F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panatti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano-Bergamo 50 / 100
Sona 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano-Bergamo Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sona let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ciserano-Bergamo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano-Bergamo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
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Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)