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Ciserano vs Grumellese Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 game between Ciserano and Grumellese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ciserano
20%
Draws
58%
Grumellese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciserano haven't matched Grumellese's recent run of results.
  • Grumellese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 20%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciserano Grumellese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.22 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Ciserano
1:2
Oct 29, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Grumellese
1:1
May 7, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Ciserano
2:6
Dec 18, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Grumellese
0:3
Jan 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Grumellese
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciserano 12 / 100
Grumellese 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciserano Grumellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grumellese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ciserano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Grumellese let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Ciserano went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciserano VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciserano

(Home)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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Grumellese

(Away)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)