Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Citta di Fasano vs Manfredonia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Corvino V.
79' Event
Barranco B.
90' Event
Giacobbe M.

AI Match Summary

Citta di Fasano in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Citta di Fasano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Citta di Fasano
17%
Draws
13%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Citta di Fasano lately — more wins on the board than Manfredonia.
  • Citta di Fasano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 20%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Citta di Fasano Manfredonia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Manfredonia
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Citta di Fasano
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Manfredonia
4:1
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Citta di Fasano
1:0
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Citta di Fasano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer Corvino V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barranco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacobbe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Fasano 67 / 100
Manfredonia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Citta di Fasano Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Citta di Fasano's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Manfredonia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Citta di Fasano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Fasano VS Manfredonia
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Citta di Fasano

(Home)
10 May
Citta di Fasano
1 : 2
Paganese
03 May
Citta di Fasano
6 : 0
Paganese
26 Apr
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Citta di Fasano
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
12 Apr
Barletta
3 : 2
Citta di Fasano
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Manfredonia

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)