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Cittadella vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cittadella host Folgore Caratese in the Serie C - Group A. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Cittadella at 1.48 goals for, 0.9 against; Folgore Caratese at 1.34 for, 1.31 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.81, favoring Cittadella. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Cittadella
15%
Draws
7%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Cittadella have won more games recently than Folgore Caratese.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 85 / 100
Folgore Caratese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Folgore Caratese let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cittadella stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Folgore Caratese's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Folgore Caratese
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0
Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 7

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
01 Nov
Folgore Caratese
0 : 4
Union Brescia
25 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
17 Oct
Folgore Caratese
0 : 2
Treviso
11 Oct
Trento
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)