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Cittadella vs Lecco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Cittadella Logo

Cittadella

3 - 0
FT
Lecco Logo

Lecco

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Gobbato M.
46'
Sub
Litti M. In: Sinn L.
Out: Litti M.
52'
D'Alessio F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Cittadella and Lecco finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cittadella
20%
Draws
32%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cittadella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Lecco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lecco
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lecco
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Cittadella
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 Serie B
Lecco vs Cittadella
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie B
Cittadella vs Lecco
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonucci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paolucci L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lecco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 95 / 100
Lecco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cittadella scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Lecco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cittadella remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Lecco
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Lecco

(Away)
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)