Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella vs Lecco

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Cittadella Logo

Cittadella

2 - 1
FT
Lecco Logo

Lecco

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Metlika A.
28'
Duca E.
50'
Sub
Marrone L. In: Ferrini M.
Out: Marrone L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Cittadella and Lecco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cittadella
20%
Draws
7%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cittadella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Lecco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lecco
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Cittadella
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 Serie B
Lecco vs Cittadella
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Serie B
Cittadella vs Lecco
2:1
Mar 30, 2008 Lega Pro C1/A
Cittadella vs Lecco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lecco Compare

Top Goalscorer Metlika A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 95 / 100
Lecco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Lecco has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cittadella stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Lecco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0
Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2
Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0
Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Lecco

(Away)
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0
Arzignano
16 Aug
Lecco
0 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
08 Aug
Lecco
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
05 Aug
Lecco
0 : 3
Inter U23
02 Aug
Verona
3 : 0
Lecco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)