Sport Picks
Cittadella vs Lumezzane Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella 
Match Events
5'
5'
Barberis A.
7'
7'
Falcinelli D.
18'
18'
Falcinelli D.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Lumezzane.
- Cittadella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cittadella have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
2:1
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 20, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Barberis A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Falcinelli D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Lumezzane Compare
Top Goalscorer Mancini S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella 85 / 100
Lumezzane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Lumezzane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cittadella scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Lumezzane conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Cittadella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella VS Lumezzane
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella
(Home) 03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0 Lecco
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 4
Lumezzane
(Away) 03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Trento | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 6 | Treviso | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Pergolettese | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1:3 | 7 |
| 14 | Carpi | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 15 | Folgore Caratese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 17 | Novara | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 18 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 20 | Renate | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
