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Cittadella vs Luparense FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Fabbro M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Cittadella and Luparense FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cittadella
20%
Draws
38%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Luparense FC haven't matched Cittadella's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Cittadella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cittadella have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Luparense FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Luparense FC
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Luparense FC vs Cittadella
1:4
Jul 31, 2022 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Luparense FC
2:1
Aug 1, 2021 Club Friendly
Cittadella vs Luparense FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabbro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Luparense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 36 / 100
Luparense FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Luparense FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cittadella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Luparense FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
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Luparense FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
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