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Cittadella vs Pergolettese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ekuban J.
Assist: Barberis A.
38'
Zaia E.
59'
Tremolada M.

AI Match Summary

Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cittadella
35%
Draws
24%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Cittadella have won more games recently than Pergolettese.
  • Cittadella are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Pergolettese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.6 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pergolettese
2:0
Jan 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Pergolettese
3:3
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Cittadella
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekuban J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignatov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pergolettese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 77 / 100
Pergolettese 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pergolettese conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Cittadella went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Pergolettese
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1
Cittadella
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Pergolettese

(Away)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)