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Cittadella vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
Cittadella Logo

Cittadella

4 - 1
FT
Renate Logo

Renate

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ignatov E.
35' Event
Ekuban J.
38' Event
Anelli N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cittadella
30%
Draws
23%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Renate.
  • Model gives Cittadella a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Cittadella have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cittadella, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cittadella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Renate
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Cittadella vs Renate
4:1
Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:0
Jan 30, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Compare

Top Goalscorer Ignatov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekuban J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella 42 / 100
Renate 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Renate conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Cittadella has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella VS Renate
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella

(Home)
01 Nov
Cittadella
1 : 0
Treviso
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 0
Arzignano
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2
Cittadella
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5
Renate
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
19 Oct
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Renate
11 Oct
Renate
2 : 2
Giana Erminio
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -