Sport Picks
Cittadella vs Renate
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella 
Match Events
10'
10'
Ignatov E.
35'
35'
Ekuban J.
38'
38'
Anelli N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
71%
20%
9%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Renate.
- Model gives Cittadella a 71% chance of winning this.
- Cittadella have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cittadella, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cittadella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 20%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cittadella | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Cittadella vs Renate
4:1
Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:1
Feb 16, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Cittadella
0:0
Jan 30, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Renate
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Ignatov E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ekuban J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cittadella 85 / 100
Renate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cittadella Renate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cittadella found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Cittadella remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Renate has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Cittadella VS Renate
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cittadella
(Home) 17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2 Cittadella
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1 Lumezzane
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 4
Renate
(Away) 17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
31 Aug
Renate
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
