Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Correggese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event

AI Match Summary

Cittadella Vis Modena host Correggese in the Serie D - Group D. This one's hard to separate. Correggese have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Cittadella Vis Modena have conceded 0.76 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Cittadella Vis Modena have won 2 to Correggese's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Cittadella Vis Modena to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cittadella Vis Modena
20%
Draws
40%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cittadella Vis Modena lately — more wins on the board than Correggese.
  • Win probability leans Cittadella Vis Modena's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 20%
Correggese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Correggese
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Correggese
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 67 / 100
Correggese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella Vis Modena found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Correggese conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cittadella Vis Modena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella Vis Modena VS Correggese
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

Correggese

(Away)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
03 May
Correggese
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Pro Patria 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 Pro Sesto 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Lentigione 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
5 Sant'Angelo 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
6 USD Casatese 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Castellanzese 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
9 Varese FC 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
10 Varesina 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
12 Correggese 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
13 Pavia 3 0 3 0 0:0 3
14 Oltrepo 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
15 Solbiatese 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
16 Crema 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
17 Arconatese 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
18 US Pontedera 4 0 0 4 3:12 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)