Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pistoiese finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cittadella Vis Modena
22%
Draws
60%
Pistoiese
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pistoiese a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 16%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Pistoiese
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 22
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
5:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pistoiese
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Cittadella Vis Modena
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 19 / 100
Pistoiese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Pistoiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Cittadella Vis Modena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pistoiese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella Vis Modena VS Pistoiese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Home)
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Pro Palazzolo
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

Pistoiese

(Away)
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3
Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)