Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Tropical Coriano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cittadella Vis Modena play Tropical Coriano in the Serie D - Group D. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cittadella Vis Modena averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Tropical Coriano averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Cittadella Vis Modena won 1, Tropical Coriano won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 0.88 for Tropical Coriano. This points to a Cittadella Vis Modena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cittadella Vis Modena
30%
Draws
24%
Tropical Coriano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Cittadella Vis Modena picked up more points recently compared to Tropical Coriano.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 16%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 25%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena Tropical Coriano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Tropical Coriano
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sardella L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 46 / 100
Tropical Coriano 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena Tropical Coriano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cittadella Vis Modena or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +28.5%
4.76
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cittadella Vis Modena attacking → ← attacking Tropical Coriano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tropical Coriano let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Cittadella Vis Modena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tropical Coriano lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 29
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738