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Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Mandelli L.
58' Event
Citterio G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Cittadella Vis Modena and USD Casatese finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cittadella Vis Modena
20%
Draws
40%
USD Casatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • USD Casatese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cittadella Vis Modena's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cittadella Vis Modena USD Casatese
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.85 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Citterio G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cittadella Vis Modena 50 / 100
USD Casatese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cittadella Vis Modena USD Casatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cittadella Vis Modena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cittadella Vis Modena scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

USD Casatese let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cittadella Vis Modena VS USD Casatese
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Home)
07 Oct
Sasso Marconi
1 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

USD Casatese

(Away)
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3
Pistoiese
27 Sept
USD Casatese
4 : 2
Varesina
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)