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City London vs Gremio Maringa

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Paranaense 3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

City London play Gremio Maringa in the Paranaense 3 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, City London averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Gremio Maringa averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, City London won 0, Gremio Maringa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for City London and 1.00 for Gremio Maringa. This points to a City London double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
City London
28%
Draws
28%
Gremio Maringa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: City London

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • City London picked up more points recently compared to Gremio Maringa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
City London Clean Sheet 23%
Gremio Maringa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric City London Gremio Maringa
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 4 7
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Paranaense 3
Gremio Maringa vs City London
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Paranaense 3
City London vs Gremio Maringa
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

City London 44 / 100
Gremio Maringa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
City London Gremio Maringa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: City London or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

City London attacking → ← attacking Gremio Maringa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

City London scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Gremio Maringa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

City London went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gremio Maringa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 19
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Prudentopolis844014:616
2Rolandia EC843112:915
3Araucaria842220:1114
4Iraty821510:197
5Hope Internacional80265:162
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CA Cambe63218:411
2City London62316:79
3Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense60245:122
4Gremio Maringa623111:7-4
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao PR63125:510
2Vere FC62228:58
3Oeste Brasil62228:98
4Campo Mourao61326:86