Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad Bolivar vs San Telmo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar
Ciudad Bolivar Logo

Ciudad Bolivar

Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Bolivar host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. San Telmo have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Ciudad Bolivar have conceded 0.9 and scored 0.86. Head-to-head, Ciudad Bolivar have won 1 to San Telmo's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ciudad Bolivar. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ciudad Bolivar
20%
Draws
47%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • San Telmo haven't matched Ciudad Bolivar's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 25%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Bolivar San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Ciudad Bolivar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Bolivar 33 / 100
San Telmo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Bolivar San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Bolivar's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ciudad Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

San Telmo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Bolivar VS San Telmo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Bolivar

(Home)
03 Oct
Acassuso
0 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)