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Ciudad Cieza vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Ciudad Cieza and Ciudad Lorca finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Cieza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ciudad Cieza
20%
Draws
0%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad Cieza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ciudad Cieza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ciudad Cieza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 20%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Cieza Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 10 1
Losses 5 27
Goals Scored 1.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.87 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Ciudad Lorca
9:1
Oct 11, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Ciudad Cieza
0:2
Apr 13, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Ciudad Lorca
4:1
Nov 25, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Ciudad Cieza
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Cieza 85 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Cieza Ciudad Lorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Cieza's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ciudad Lorca conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Lorca lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Cieza VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Cieza

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
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Ciudad Lorca

(Away)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)