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Ciudad Cieza vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Goudani A.
45' Event
Lopez Moreno E.
46' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Ciudad Cieza and E.G. El Palmar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Cieza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Ciudad Cieza
30%
Draws
8%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad Cieza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • E.G. El Palmar haven't matched Ciudad Cieza's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Cieza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 68%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Cieza E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.30 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs E.G. El Palmar
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Ciudad Cieza
2:3
Mar 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs E.G. El Palmar
4:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Ciudad Cieza
3:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs E.G. El Palmar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Cieza Compare

Top Goalscorer Goudani A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Moreno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.77
Avg xA / game 1.15

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Cieza 95 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Cieza E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ciudad Cieza scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

E.G. El Palmar let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ciudad Cieza remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Cieza VS E.G. El Palmar
2 Goals Scored 0.8
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Cieza

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
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E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)