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Ciudad Cieza vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 game between Ciudad Cieza and Estudiantes de Murcia CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estudiantes de Murcia CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ciudad Cieza
20%
Draws
42%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad Cieza come out ahead of Estudiantes de Murcia CF on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Cieza Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 13 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.49 1
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
1:2
Dec 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Ciudad Cieza
1:2
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Ciudad Cieza
3:2
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2:1
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Ciudad Cieza
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Cieza 32 / 100
Estudiantes de Murcia CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Cieza Estudiantes de Murcia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Estudiantes de Murcia CF conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Cieza found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

Ciudad Cieza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Cieza VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Cieza

(Home)
27 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 1
Baleares
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0
Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
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Estudiantes de Murcia CF

(Away)
19 May
Lorca FC
1 : 0
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
12 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
La Union (Malacitano)
05 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
01 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
27 Apr
EDMF Churra
2 : 1
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yeclano 42 27 8 7 88:30 89
2 Lorca Deportiva 42 28 5 9 69:28 89
3 Lorca FC 42 22 14 6 73:28 80
4 EDMF Churra 42 23 8 11 63:50 77
5 CA Pulpileno 42 21 13 8 65:41 76
6 Aguilas FC 42 20 14 8 56:33 74
7 UCAM Murcia B 42 16 15 11 52:42 63
8 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 42 17 11 14 53:51 62
9 Deportiva Minera 42 14 13 15 45:55 55
10 Mazarron FC 42 14 12 16 48:56 54
11 Club Olimpico de Totana 42 15 9 18 54:64 54
12 UD Los Garres 42 13 14 15 36:48 53
13 Minerva 42 14 9 19 44:53 51
14 Real Murcia B 42 14 9 19 56:64 51
15 Muleno CF 42 12 13 17 44:59 49
16 Huercal-Overa CF 42 14 6 22 56:68 48
17 FC Cartagena SAD B 42 11 15 16 51:53 48
18 Ciudad de Murcia 42 12 8 22 43:70 44
19 La Union (Malacitano) 42 12 7 23 42:55 43
20 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 42 10 12 20 37:55 42
21 CD Algar 42 9 8 25 29:71 35
22 Ciudad Cieza 42 10 5 27 36:66 32
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)