Sport Picks
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Pradejon
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 game between Ciudad de Alfaro and Pradejon finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Alfaro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pradejon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pradejon carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Pradejon taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ciudad de Alfaro Clean Sheet 20%
Pradejon Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Alfaro | Pradejon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.27 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Pradejon
5:4
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Ciudad de Alfaro
1:1
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Ciudad de Alfaro vs Pradejon
0:3
Nov 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pradejon vs Ciudad de Alfaro
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Alfaro 16 / 100
Pradejon 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Alfaro Pradejon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pradejon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Defensive concern: Pradejon conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Pradejon lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Ciudad de Alfaro scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pradejon
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Alfaro
(Home) 16 May
Casalarreina CF
5 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
03 May
Vianes
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
25 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 1 Ciudad de Alfaro
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
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10 May
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 4 Yague
19 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
3 : 5 Varea
02 Apr
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 3 CDFC La Calzada
22 Mar
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 2 Agoncillo
08 Mar
Ciudad de Alfaro
0 : 3 Haro Deportivo
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Pradejon
(Away) 10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 Pradejon
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1 Varea
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0 Autol
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1 Pradejon
Page 1 of 6
10 May
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 1 Pradejon
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
12 Apr
Berceo
4 : 1 Pradejon
28 Mar
Oyonesa
2 : 2 Pradejon
22 Mar
Yague
1 : 1 Pradejon
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varea | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 101:40 | 88 |
| 2 | Haro Deportivo | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 92:24 | 83 |
| 3 | Naxara | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 86:33 | 76 |
| 4 | Anguiano | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:38 | 76 |
| 5 | Vianes | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 65:41 | 73 |
| 6 | Alfaro | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 7 | Oyonesa | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 49:32 | 71 |
| 8 | CD Calahorra | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 59:27 | 71 |
| 9 | Agoncillo | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 56:43 | 55 |
| 10 | River Ebro | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 56:65 | 47 |
| 11 | CDFC La Calzada | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39:69 | 42 |
| 12 | Ciudad de Alfaro | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:58 | 39 |
| 13 | Pena Balsamaiso | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 37:74 | 37 |
| 14 | Arnedo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 33:58 | 37 |
| 15 | Villegas | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 37:59 | 36 |
| 16 | Calasancio | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 32:52 | 36 |
| 17 | San Marcial | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 45:78 | 33 |
| 18 | Pradejon | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 39:77 | 32 |
| 19 | Berceo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 35:67 | 29 |
| 20 | CCD Alberite | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 36:109 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
