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Ciudad de Lorqu vs Ejido Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2009/2010
Ciudad de Lorqu Logo

Ciudad de Lorqu

Wed, Oct 7, 2009
1 - 0
07:00 PM
Ejido Logo

Ejido

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ciudad de Lorqu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ciudad de Lorqu
15%
Draws
8%
Ejido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad de Lorqu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad de Lorqu come out ahead of Ejido on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Lorqu taking it.
  • Ciudad de Lorqu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ejido, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ejido have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ciudad de Lorqu Clean Sheet 20%
Ejido Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lorqu Ejido
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.52 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Ciudad de Lorqu vs Ejido
0:1
Oct 18, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Ejido vs Ciudad de Lorqu
2:0
Oct 7, 2009 Copa del Rey
Ciudad de Lorqu vs Ejido
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lorqu 85 / 100
Ejido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lorqu Ejido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lorqu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lorqu's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ejido has conceded goals in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Ciudad de Lorqu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ejido lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ejido
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lorqu

(Home)
09 May
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 2
Lucena
02 May
Ecija
1 : 3
Ciudad de Lorqu
25 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
18 Apr
Sevilla B
3 : 1
Ciudad de Lorqu
14 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
4 : 2
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 7

Ejido

(Away)
11 May
Ejido
1 : 3
El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0
Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1
Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3
Motril
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sevilla -
TBD -
Ejido 0
Ciudad de Lorqu 1
Leonesa 1
Ontinyent 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
Valencia -
TBD -
AD Merida 1
Alcoyano 3
Murcia 3
Numancia 2
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
Cordoba 0
Rayo Vallecano 1
Malaga -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Espanyol -
TBD -
TBD -
Getafe -
Racing Santander -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD 0
UD Salamanca (Inactive) 2
Real Madrid -
TBD -
Lagun Onak 1
Alcorcon 2
Hercules 2
Huesca 0
TBD -
Almeria -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Celta Vigo 3
Girona 1
TBD -
Tenerife -
CD Puertollano 2
Sant Andreu 1
TBD -
Villarreal -
Recreativo Huelva 2
Las Palmas 1
TBD -
Gijon -
Marbella 2
Alicante 1
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
1/16-finals
Sevilla 9
Ciudad de Lorqu 3
Leonesa 0
Barcelona 7
Valencia 3
Alcoyano 2
Murcia 0
Dep. A Coruna 1
Mallorca 2
Valladolid 2
Ath Bilbao 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
Malaga 1
Zaragoza 1
Espanyol 1
Getafe 3
Racing Santander 4
UD Salamanca (Inactive) 2
Real Madrid 1
Alcorcon 4
Hercules 3
Almeria 1
Xerez CD 1
Osasuna 3
Celta Vigo 3
Tenerife 1
CD Puertollano 1
Villarreal 2
Recreativo Huelva 3
Gijon 2
Marbella 0
Atl. Madrid 8
1/8-finals
Sevilla 2
Barcelona 2
Valencia 3
Dep. A Coruna 4
Mallorca 4
Rayo Vallecano 3
Malaga 3
Getafe 6
Racing Santander 3
Alcorcon 2
Hercules 2
Osasuna 2
Celta Vigo 2
Villarreal 1
Recreativo Huelva 4
Atl. Madrid 5
Quarter-finals
Sevilla 3
Dep. A Coruna 1
Mallorca 2
Getafe 2
Racing Santander 5
Osasuna 1
Celta Vigo 1
Atl. Madrid 2
Semi-finals
Sevilla 2
Getafe 1
Racing Santander 3
Atl. Madrid 6
Final
Sevilla 2
Atl. Madrid 0