Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Lorqu vs Sevilla

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sevilla in this Copa del Rey 2009/2010 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ciudad de Lorqu
15%
Draws
37%
Sevilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad de Lorqu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sevilla lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Lorqu.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Lorqu taking it.
  • Sevilla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sevilla, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ciudad de Lorqu Clean Sheet 20%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lorqu Sevilla
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2009 Copa del Rey
Sevilla vs Ciudad de Lorqu
5:1
Oct 27, 2009 Copa del Rey
Ciudad de Lorqu vs Sevilla
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lorqu 36 / 100
Sevilla 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lorqu Sevilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Ciudad de Lorqu found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Sevilla let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Ciudad de Lorqu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sevilla
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lorqu

(Home)
09 May
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 2
Lucena
02 May
Ecija
1 : 3
Ciudad de Lorqu
25 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
18 Apr
Sevilla B
3 : 1
Ciudad de Lorqu
14 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
4 : 2
CD Estepona
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Sevilla

(Away)
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3
Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0
Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3
Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sevilla -
TBD -
Ejido 0
Ciudad de Lorqu 1
Leonesa 1
Ontinyent 0
TBD -
Barcelona -
Valencia -
TBD -
AD Merida 1
Alcoyano 3
Murcia 3
Numancia 2
TBD -
Dep. A Coruna -
Mallorca -
TBD -
TBD -
Valladolid -
Ath Bilbao -
TBD -
Cordoba 0
Rayo Vallecano 1
Malaga -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaragoza -
Espanyol -
TBD -
TBD -
Getafe -
Racing Santander -
TBD -
FC Cartagena SAD 0
UD Salamanca (Inactive) 2
Real Madrid -
TBD -
Lagun Onak 1
Alcorcon 2
Hercules 2
Huesca 0
TBD -
Almeria -
Xerez CD -
TBD -
TBD -
Osasuna -
Celta Vigo 3
Girona 1
TBD -
Tenerife -
CD Puertollano 2
Sant Andreu 1
TBD -
Villarreal -
Recreativo Huelva 2
Las Palmas 1
TBD -
Gijon -
Marbella 2
Alicante 1
TBD -
Atl. Madrid -
1/16-finals
Sevilla 9
Ciudad de Lorqu 3
Leonesa 0
Barcelona 7
Valencia 3
Alcoyano 2
Murcia 0
Dep. A Coruna 1
Mallorca 2
Valladolid 2
Ath Bilbao 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
Malaga 1
Zaragoza 1
Espanyol 1
Getafe 3
Racing Santander 4
UD Salamanca (Inactive) 2
Real Madrid 1
Alcorcon 4
Hercules 3
Almeria 1
Xerez CD 1
Osasuna 3
Celta Vigo 3
Tenerife 1
CD Puertollano 1
Villarreal 2
Recreativo Huelva 3
Gijon 2
Marbella 0
Atl. Madrid 8
1/8-finals
Sevilla 2
Barcelona 2
Valencia 3
Dep. A Coruna 4
Mallorca 4
Rayo Vallecano 3
Malaga 3
Getafe 6
Racing Santander 3
Alcorcon 2
Hercules 2
Osasuna 2
Celta Vigo 2
Villarreal 1
Recreativo Huelva 4
Atl. Madrid 5
Quarter-finals
Sevilla 3
Dep. A Coruna 1
Mallorca 2
Getafe 2
Racing Santander 5
Osasuna 1
Celta Vigo 1
Atl. Madrid 2
Semi-finals
Sevilla 2
Getafe 1
Racing Santander 3
Atl. Madrid 6
Final
Sevilla 2
Atl. Madrid 0