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Ciudad de Lucena vs Ayamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Dylan Leeds N.
56' Event
Lopez Castellano M. A.

AI Match Summary

Ayamonte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayamonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ciudad de Lucena
20%
Draws
32%
Ayamonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Very High Confidence
  • Ciudad de Lucena have won more games recently than Ayamonte.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ciudad de Lucena taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Ayamonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Ayamonte
Matches Played 40 32
Wins 25 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Ayamonte
0:2
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ayamonte vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Ayamonte
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ayamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Dylan Leeds N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez Castellano M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 95 / 100
Ayamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Ayamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

Ayamonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Ciudad de Lucena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1
Dos Hermanas
03 May
Cadiz B
3 : 0
Ciudad de Lucena
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0
Tomares UD
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Bollullos
12 Apr
Sevilla C
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
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Ayamonte

(Away)
12 May
Ayamonte
3 : 0
AD Cartaya
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Ayamonte
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
27 Apr
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Ayamonte
21 Apr
Ayamonte
2 : 1
Cordoba B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)