Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Lucena vs Chiclana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Cantarino Abelleira D.
78' Event
Fuentes H.
90' Event
Cantarino Abelleira D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Lucena and Chiclana finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Lucena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
33%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad de Lucena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Lucena a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Chiclana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs Chiclana
3:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs Ciudad de Lucena
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Lucena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantarino Abelleira D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentes H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chiclana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 59 / 100
Chiclana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Chiclana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chiclana let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Ciudad de Lucena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Chiclana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1
Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 6

Chiclana

(Away)
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
13 Aug
Chiclana
2 : 5
Sanluqueno
12 Aug
Barbate
0 : 4
Chiclana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)