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Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa del Rey
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa del Rey. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Rayo Majadahonda have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Ciudad de Lucena have conceded 0.69 and scored 1.97. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.38 - 0.69) back Ciudad de Lucena to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ciudad de Lucena
30%
Draws
23%
Rayo Majadahonda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad de Lucena lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Majadahonda.
  • Ciudad de Lucena are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Ciudad de Lucena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Lucena Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.69 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Lucena 58 / 100
Rayo Majadahonda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Lucena Rayo Majadahonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Lucena scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Rayo Majadahonda has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ciudad de Lucena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Rayo Majadahonda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Lucena VS Rayo Majadahonda
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Lucena

(Home)
04 Oct
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0
Puente Genil
27 Sept
Antoniano
0 : 3
Ciudad de Lucena
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2
Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
Page 1 of 6

Rayo Majadahonda

(Away)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ribadesella CF 2
SD Noja 1
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Racing Santander -
Auriense 2
CD San Jose 1
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Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
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Celta Vigo -
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Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
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Gijon -
CD Laredo -
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Burgos CF -
Numancia -
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Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
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Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
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Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
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Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
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Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
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Zamora -
Real Avila -
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Unionistas de Salamanca -
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UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud 4
CD Baztan 1
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Anaitasuna FT 10
CD Tedeon 2
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Alaves -
El Espinar Sant Rafel 1
Prat 5
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Sestao -
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Espanyol -
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FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
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Sabadell -
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Real Union -
Maracena 1
Tavernes 2
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Pinatar 11
Atletico Melilla 0
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Elche -
Talayuela 1
Sporting de Alcazar CF 3
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CD Tarancon -
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Levante -
Manacor -
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Castellon -
UD Poblense -
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AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
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Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
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Granada CF -
Baleares -
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Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
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FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
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Jaen -
Antequera -
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Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana 7
Ceuta 6 de Junio 1
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Getafe -
Hortaleza 1
Atletico Union Guimar 0
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Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
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Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
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Betis -
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RSD Alcala -
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Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
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Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
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Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
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Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
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CD Coria -
Don Benito -
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CD Extremadura -
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1/64-finals
Ribadesella CF -
Racing Santander -
Auriense -
Dep. A Coruna -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Celta Vigo -
Covadonga -
Valladolid -
Guijuelo -
Gijon -
CD Laredo -
Burgos CF -
Numancia -
Real Oviedo -
Llanera -
Ponferradina -
Arosa SC -
Pontevedra -
Atletico Tordesillas -
Mirandes -
Gimnastica Segoviana -
Leonesa -
Coruxo FC -
Zamora -
Real Avila -
Unionistas de Salamanca -
Gimnastic de Torrelavega -
UD Ourense -
Atletico Calatayud -
Osasuna -
Anaitasuna FT -
Alaves -
TBD -
Ath Bilbao -
Sestao -
Espanyol -
Varea -
FC Andorra -
CD Cuarte -
Girona -
Pamplona -
Eibar -
Utebo FC -
Sabadell -
Pena -
Huesca -
Tudelano -
Zaragoza -
CE Manresa -
Sant Andreu -
Calamocha -
CE Europa -
Reus FC Reddis -
Barakaldo -
Amorebieta -
UD Logrones -
Portugalete -
Real Union -
Tavernes -
Valencia -
Pinatar -
Elche -
Sporting de Alcazar CF -
Malaga -
CD Tarancon -
Levante -
Manacor -
Villarreal -
Castellonense -
Almeria -
Alcoyano -
Mallorca -
Conquense -
Castellon -
UD Poblense -
AD Ceuta -
Puertollano C.F. -
Albacete -
Ciudad Cieza -
Granada CF -
Baleares -
Eldense -
Deportiva Minera -
FC Cartagena SAD -
Mijas Las Lagunas -
Jaen -
Antequera -
Aguilas FC -
Lebrijana -
Getafe -
TBD -
Sevilla -
Recreativo Huelva -
Rayo Vallecano -
Navalcarnero -
Betis -
Trival Valderas -
Leganes -
RSD Alcala -
Las Palmas -
CD Badajoz -
Tenerife -
Xerez CD -
Cadiz -
Atletico Paso -
Cordoba -
San Sebastian Reyes -
CD Coria -
Don Benito -
CD Extremadura -
Ciudad de Lucena -
Rayo Majadahonda -
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1/32-finals
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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