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Ciudad de Madrid vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Montero P.
63' Event
Cornelie N.
81' Event
Gutierrez E.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Madrid and Alcorcon B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad de Madrid
20%
Draws
80%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcorcon B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcorcon B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Madrid Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Alcorcon B
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Ciudad de Madrid
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelie N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
Alcorcon B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Madrid Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ciudad de Madrid scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Alcorcon B's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Madrid VS Alcorcon B
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Madrid

(Home)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
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Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)