Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Madrid vs Tres Cantos Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Martin J.
15' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.
24' Event
Keita A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Ciudad de Madrid and Tres Cantos finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad de Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad de Madrid
15%
Draws
85%
Tres Cantos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tres Cantos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tres Cantos come out ahead of Ciudad de Madrid on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tres Cantos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Madrid Tres Cantos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Tres Cantos
4:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs Ciudad de Madrid
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tres Cantos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
Tres Cantos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Madrid Tres Cantos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tres Cantos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Tres Cantos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Tres Cantos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ciudad de Madrid's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Madrid VS Tres Cantos
1 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Madrid

(Home)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
Page 1 of 6

Tres Cantos

(Away)
10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3
AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)