Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Madrid vs Villaverde San Andres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Carballar A.
64' Event
Martinez D.
67' Event
Obiukwu R.

AI Match Summary

Villaverde San Andres in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaverde San Andres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ciudad de Madrid
6%
Draws
90%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Villaverde San Andres have won more games recently than Ciudad de Madrid.
  • Model gives Villaverde San Andres a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Madrid Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 12
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Villaverde San Andres
0:4
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs Ciudad de Madrid
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Top Goalscorer Carballar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Madrid Villaverde San Andres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Villaverde San Andres has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ciudad de Madrid scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Villaverde San Andres has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Madrid VS Villaverde San Andres
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622