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Ciudad de Murcia vs CD Algar Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jimenez S.
38' Event
Guillen P.
Own Goal
65' Event
Sanchez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Ciudad de Murcia and CD Algar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Algar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ciudad de Murcia
30%
Draws
12%
CD Algar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — CD Algar are scoring more at 0.87.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Murcia a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia CD Algar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs CD Algar
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:2
Mar 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs CD Algar
0:1
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Algar vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.78

CD Algar Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 77 / 100
CD Algar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia CD Algar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Algar let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Ciudad de Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Algar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Murcia VS CD Algar
0.86 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

CD Algar

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)