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Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno play Malaga City in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Malaga City averaged 1 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Ciudad de Torredonjimeno won 2, Malaga City won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 23, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Ciudad de Torredonjimeno and 0.94 for Malaga City. This points to a Ciudad de Torredonjimeno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
28%
Draws
21%
Malaga City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Ciudad de Torredonjimeno picked up more points recently compared to Malaga City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 24%
Malaga City Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Malaga City
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3:2
Dec 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Malaga City
2:2
Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga City vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Canada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Malaga City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 51 / 100
Malaga City 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Malaga City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno attacking → ← attacking Malaga City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Malaga City let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Malaga City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malaga B34265376:2283
2Jaen34227560:3573
3Motril34187957:3561
4Torre del Mar34187948:3061
5Huetor Tajar341761135:2857
6Huetor Vega34169949:3657
7Mijas Las Lagunas341412853:3554
8CD Torreperogil3413111042:3750
9Mancha341371437:3946
10Marbelli341191432:4242
11El Palo3410111336:4941
12Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3410101443:4440
13Arenas Armilla349111440:4938
14Martos341151828:4138
15Atletico de Porcuna34991645:5536
16Ejido34762136:6827
17CP Almeria34722535:7523
18Malaga City34562331:6321