Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Vicar vs Adra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Sat, May 14, 2011
3 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Vicar host Adra in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011. This has Ciudad de Vicar written all over it on paper. Ciudad de Vicar have averaged 0.59 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Adra's 0.3 scored and 3.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Ciudad de Vicar have won 3 to Adra's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2011, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.50) back Ciudad de Vicar to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ciudad de Vicar
15%
Draws
0%
Adra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ciudad de Vicar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Adra haven't matched Ciudad de Vicar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ciudad de Vicar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Ciudad de Vicar Clean Sheet 16%
Adra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Vicar Adra
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 23 28
Goals Scored 0.59 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.44 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Vicar vs Adra
3:0
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Ciudad de Vicar
0:0
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Vicar vs Adra
3:1
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Adra vs Ciudad de Vicar
1:0
Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Vicar vs Adra
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Vicar 84 / 100
Adra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Vicar Adra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad de Vicar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Adra conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Adra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ciudad de Vicar's goal record stands at 35% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Vicar VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Vicar

(Home)
12 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 0
Ciudad de Vicar
06 May
Ciudad de Vicar
0 : 2
Antequera
01 May
Motril
2 : 0
Ciudad de Vicar
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
0 : 2
CD Ronda
Page 1 of 7

Adra

(Away)
14 May
Ciudad de Vicar
3 : 0
Adra
07 May
Adra
0 : 3
Alhaurin
30 Apr
Motril
3 : 0
Adra
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
16 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0
Adra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)