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Ciudad Lorca vs Calasparra FC

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Ciudad Lorca and Calasparra FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calasparra FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ciudad Lorca
6%
Draws
90%
Calasparra FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Calasparra FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Calasparra FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Calasparra FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calasparra FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 20%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Lorca Calasparra FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Calasparra FC
1:1
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Ciudad Lorca
2:1
Jan 13, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Calasparra FC
2:3
Aug 29, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Ciudad Lorca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
Calasparra FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Lorca Calasparra FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calasparra FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Calasparra FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad Lorca found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Calasparra FC
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Lorca

(Home)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron CF
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
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Calasparra FC

(Away)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lorqu38289184:2993
2Sangonera382213378:3479
3Real Murcia B38247775:3079
4Caravaca382210693:3876
5Pinatar382112590:3875
6Calasparra FC381811962:4565
7Cartagena La Union381614855:3962
8Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas3816121060:4460
9Moratalla381781356:4159
10Ciudad Cieza3815101366:6155
11Santomera3814111346:4453
12Yeclano381471762:5449
13Muleno CF381432143:6445
14Futbol Club Jumilla381091945:6639
15Lorca Deportiva II381142339:5337
16Ciudad Lorca381042450:9834
17Bala Azul38892142:7133
18Club Olimpico de Totana38852541:9129
19CD Alquerias38572627:8322
20Ad Ceuti Atletico38413325:11613
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)