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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs CD Guadalajara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
10%
CD Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than CD Guadalajara.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz CD Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 17 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs CD Guadalajara
1:1
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 85 / 100
CD Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz CD Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Guadalajara has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Recent resilience: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz VS CD Guadalajara
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Home)
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
19 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 0
Central Union
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
05 Sept
Central Union
0 : 1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

CD Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)