Sport Picks

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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Rio San Juan

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz in this Copa Simon Bolivar tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28%
Draws
22%
Rio San Juan
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have won more games recently than Rio San Juan.
  • Win probability leans Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Rio San Juan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Rio San Juan
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 20 5
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rio San Juan vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Rio San Juan
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 59 / 100
Rio San Juan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Rio San Juan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rio San Juan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz VS Rio San Juan
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

(Home)
09 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
02 Nov
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 1
Universitario de Sucre
26 Oct
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Olympic FC
12 Oct
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
Page 1 of 6

Rio San Juan

(Away)
09 Nov
Rio San Juan
0 : 0
Real Potosi
02 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
Rio San Juan
26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1
Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1
Rio San Juan
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams