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Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Sucre

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz and Universitario de Sucre finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
33%
Draws
27%
Universitario de Sucre
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz a 40% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Simon Bolivar fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Sucre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Universitario de Sucre
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.63 4.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Sucre vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz vs Universitario de Sucre
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 38 / 100
Universitario de Sucre 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz Universitario de Sucre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Universitario de Sucre has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz VS Universitario de Sucre
2.63 Goals Scored 4.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5