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Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Arandina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
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Match Events

67' Event
Ortiz P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Ciudad Rodrigo CF and Arandina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arandina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
15%
Draws
59%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciudad Rodrigo CF haven't matched Arandina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Arandina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Arandina have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Clean Sheet 22%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Rodrigo CF Arandina
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Arandina
0:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3:1
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ciudad Rodrigo CF vs Arandina
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad Rodrigo CF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Arandina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Rodrigo CF 24 / 100
Arandina 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Rodrigo CF Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Rodrigo CF found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Arandina conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ciudad Rodrigo CF remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Rodrigo CF

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
3 : 4
CD Mojados
01 May
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
27 Apr
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
1 : 2
La Virgen
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
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Arandina

(Away)
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)