Sport Picks
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 
Match Events
58'
58'
Marucci S.
72'
72'
Bevilacqua M.
72'
72'
Bevilacqua M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civitanovese Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Civitanovese Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Fermana.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Civitanovese Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Fermana Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Civitanovese Calcio | Fermana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Civitanovese Calcio
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
0:0
Jan 22, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Civitanovese Calcio
2:0
Sep 18, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
2:4
Apr 26, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Fermana
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Civitanovese Calcio 59 / 100
Fermana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Civitanovese Calcio Fermana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Civitanovese Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Civitanovese Calcio scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Fermana has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Civitanovese Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Civitanovese Calcio VS Fermana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Civitanovese Calcio
(Home) 11 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
04 May
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Recanatese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
AS Sora
3 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Recanatese
06 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
2 : 2 Termoli
23 Mar
Civitanovese Calcio
0 : 1 Teramo
02 Mar
Civitanovese Calcio
0 : 0 Vigor Senigallia
16 Feb
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Fermana
(Away) 04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1 Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0 Avezzano
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Fermana
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1 Fermana
30 Mar
AS Sora
2 : 2 Fermana
09 Mar
Teramo
1 : 0 Fermana
23 Feb
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Fermana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
