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Civitanovese Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Civitanovese Calcio and Vigor Senigallia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Civitanovese Calcio
20%
Draws
52%
Vigor Senigallia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Senigallia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Senigallia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Senigallia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 18%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Civitanovese Calcio Vigor Senigallia
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 12 13
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Civitanovese Calcio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Civitanovese Calcio 23 / 100
Vigor Senigallia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Civitanovese Calcio Vigor Senigallia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Civitanovese Calcio scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vigor Senigallia let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: Civitanovese Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vigor Senigallia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Civitanovese Calcio

(Home)
11 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Civitanovese Calcio
04 May
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1
Recanatese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
AS Sora
3 : 1
Civitanovese Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Vigor Senigallia

(Away)
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)