Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Civo Utd vs Chitipa United

Malawi Malawi

Super League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Asuman J.

AI Match Summary

Chitipa United in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chitipa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Civo Utd
20%
Draws
38%
Chitipa United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chitipa United haven't matched Civo Utd's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Chitipa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Civo Utd Chitipa United
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Chitipa United
0:1
May 11, 2025 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Chitipa United
4:0
May 24, 2024 Super League
Chitipa United vs Civo Utd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Civo Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Chitipa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Asuman J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Civo Utd 42 / 100
Chitipa United 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Civo Utd Chitipa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chitipa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Civo Utd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Civo Utd found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Civo Utd VS Chitipa United
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Civo Utd

(Home)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
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Chitipa United

(Away)
06 Sept
Chitipa United
0 : 0
Creck Sporting
23 Aug
Karonga United
1 : 1
Chitipa United
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Big Bullets
2 : 0
Chitipa United
25 Jul
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Ekhaya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mighty Wanderers FC 30 20 9 1 51:14 69
2 Big Bullets 30 21 3 6 60:20 66
3 Silver Strikers 30 18 10 2 50:18 64
4 Blue Eagles 30 13 9 8 38:30 48
5 Civo Utd 30 13 8 9 39:21 47
6 Karonga United 30 13 5 12 31:28 44
7 Ekhaya 30 13 3 14 36:28 42
8 Creck Sporting 30 11 9 10 25:27 42
9 Moyale Barracks 30 10 10 10 28:40 40
10 Kamuzu Barracks 30 11 6 13 31:35 39
11 Chitipa United 30 9 10 11 23:30 37
12 Dedza Dynamos 30 8 8 14 24:33 32
13 MAFCO 30 8 7 15 29:37 31
14 Mzuzu City 30 7 7 16 26:49 28
15 Mighty Tigers 30 6 9 15 21:35 27
16 Songwe Border 30 1 3 26 10:77 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)