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Civo Utd vs Moyale Barracks

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Aliseni B.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Civo Utd and Moyale Barracks finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moyale Barracks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Civo Utd
20%
Draws
38%
Moyale Barracks
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Civo Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Moyale Barracks haven't matched Civo Utd's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Civo Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Moyale Barracks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Civo Utd Moyale Barracks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Super League
Civo Utd vs Moyale Barracks
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Civo Utd vs Moyale Barracks
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Civo Utd
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Civo Utd vs Moyale Barracks
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 Super League
Moyale Barracks vs Civo Utd
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Civo Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Moyale Barracks Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliseni B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Civo Utd 42 / 100
Moyale Barracks 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Civo Utd Moyale Barracks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyale Barracks let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Civo Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Civo Utd scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Civo Utd VS Moyale Barracks
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Civo Utd

(Home)
05 Sept
Kamuzu Barracks
0 : 1
Civo Utd
23 Aug
Civo Utd
1 : 0
MAFCO
16 Aug
Blue Eagles
1 : 2
Civo Utd
09 Aug
Masters FC
1 : 0
Civo Utd
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6

Moyale Barracks

(Away)
05 Sept
MAFCO
1 : 2
Moyale Barracks
22 Aug
Moyale Barracks
2 : 2
Kamuzu Barracks
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
08 Aug
Moyale Barracks
1 : 1
Mighty Wanderers FC
25 Jul
Civo Utd
0 : 1
Moyale Barracks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
2 Mighty Wanderers FC 14 8 5 1 26:9 29
3 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
4 Blue Eagles 14 9 1 4 22:15 28
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)