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Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Wentworth Park
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Verduga A.
12' Event
Westenberg N.
56' Event
Dillon R.

AI Match Summary

Glenorchy Knights in this NPL Tasmania 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Glenorchy Knights.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Clarence Zebras
6%
Draws
4%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Clarence Zebras at 1.75 per game, Glenorchy Knights at 1.5.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Clarence Zebras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 15%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights
2:0
Sep 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights
1:5
May 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Mar 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Westenberg N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Top Goalscorer Dillon R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Verduga A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 84 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Glenorchy Knights

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Glenorchy Knights conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Clarence Zebras found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Clarence Zebras has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Glenorchy Knights
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%