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Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Khasif M.
88' Event
Spicer W.

AI Match Summary

Clarence Zebras play Launceston United in the NPL Tasmania. Clarence Zebras are favorites here. Recently, Clarence Zebras averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Launceston United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.38 conceded. In past meetings, Clarence Zebras won 2, Launceston United won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Clarence Zebras and 1.38 for Launceston United. This points to a Clarence Zebras double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Clarence Zebras
6%
Draws
4%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Clarence Zebras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Clarence Zebras has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Launceston United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Clarence Zebras.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 68%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Launceston United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Clarence Zebras
2:5
Apr 5, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Launceston United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Khasif M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Spicer W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 95 / 100
Launceston United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Launceston United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Launceston United let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Clarence Zebras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Launceston United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Launceston United
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%