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Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania 2025 Wentworth Park
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Morton N.
14' Event
Lancaster J.
33' Event
Kemp K.

AI Match Summary

Clarence Zebras host South Hobart in the NPL Tasmania 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Clarence Zebras at 1.75 goals for, 1.63 against; South Hobart at 4 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor South Hobart slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.31 - 2.81) back South Hobart to edge this. South Hobart in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Clarence Zebras
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • South Hobart has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Clarence Zebras.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for South Hobart.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Tasmania 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras South Hobart
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.75 4
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
2:5
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Burt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Morton N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lancaster J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 10 / 100
South Hobart 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras South Hobart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clarence Zebras scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

South Hobart let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Clarence Zebras went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Hobart lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS South Hobart
1.75 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%