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Stadium Background

Claypole vs Leones de Rosario Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gaitan M.
36' Event
Vieyra J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Claypole
20%
Draws
52%
Leones de Rosario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leones de Rosario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leones de Rosario lately — more wins on the board than Claypole.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Claypole Clean Sheet 21%
Leones de Rosario Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Claypole Leones de Rosario
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Primera C
Claypole vs Leones de Rosario
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera C
Leones de Rosario vs Claypole
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Claypole Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaitan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Leones de Rosario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Claypole 37 / 100
Leones de Rosario 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Claypole Leones de Rosario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones de Rosario Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Claypole scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Leones de Rosario conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Claypole has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Claypole VS Leones de Rosario
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Claypole

(Home)
26 Sept
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 1
Claypole
21 Sept
Claypole
2 : 1
Yupanqui
15 Sept
Claypole
2 : 0
Sacachispas
08 Sept
Claypole
0 : 1
CSD Central Ballester
29 Aug
El Porvenir
4 : 2
Claypole
Page 1 of 6

Leones de Rosario

(Away)
20 Sept
General Lamadrid
1 : 1
Leones de Rosario
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0
Leones de Rosario
04 Sept
Yupanqui
0 : 1
Leones de Rosario
31 Aug
Leones de Rosario
1 : 0
Atlas
25 Aug
Leones de Rosario
2 : 1
Deportivo Muniz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 30 12 12 6 35:21 48
2 CA Lugano 30 11 13 6 33:25 46
3 Sacachispas 30 13 7 10 32:26 46
4 CSR Espanol 30 11 11 8 37:27 44
5 Estrella Del Sur 30 11 11 8 31:29 44
6 Mercedes 30 11 10 9 29:23 43
7 Juventud Unida San Miguel 30 11 9 10 35:29 42
8 Victoriano Arenas 30 9 14 7 23:19 41
9 Puerto Nuevo 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 30 9 9 12 25:30 36
11 Deportivo Paraguayo 30 7 10 13 22:38 31
12 Leandro N. Alem 30 8 7 15 29:51 31
13 Justo Jose de Urquiza 30 5 14 11 15:25 29
14 Argentino de Rosario 30 3 15 12 27:39 24
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 30 17 7 6 44:22 58
2 Canuelas 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Deportivo Espanol 30 11 15 4 24:15 48
4 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 30 12 10 8 31:22 46
5 Leones de Rosario 30 11 12 7 27:24 45
6 General Lamadrid 30 9 13 8 23:26 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 30 11 6 13 32:30 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 30 10 8 12 28:28 38
9 Atlas 30 9 10 11 23:26 37
10 El Porvenir 29 7 15 7 23:27 36
11 Yupanqui 30 8 11 11 33:34 35
12 Claypole 30 8 8 14 24:38 32
13 Fenix 30 7 10 13 22:30 31
14 Deportivo Muniz 29 4 11 14 17:33 23
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)